Ulam-Hyers stability of tuberculosis and COVID-19 co-infection model under Atangana-Baleanu fractal-fractional operator.

The intention of this work is to study a mathematical model for fractal-fractional tuberculosis and COVID-19 co-infection under the Atangana-Baleanu fractal-fractional operator. Firstly, we formulate the tuberculosis and COVID-19 co-infection model by considering the tuberculosis recovery individuals, the COVID-19 recovery individuals, and both disease recovery compartment in the proposed model. The fixed point approach is utilized to explore the existence and uniqueness of the solution in the suggested model. The stability analysis related to solve the Ulam-Hyers stability is also investigated. This paper is based on Lagrange's interpolation polynomial in the numerical scheme, which is validated through a specific case with a comparative numerical analysis for different values of the fractional and fractal orders.

The Role of Vaccination and Face Mask Wearing on COVID-19 Infection and Hospitalization: A Cross-Sectional Study of the MENA Region.

Since the emergence of the Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic, the disease has affected more than 675 million people worldwide, including more than 6.87 million deaths. To mitigate the effects of this pandemic, many countries established control measures to contain its spread. Their riposte was based on a combination of pharmaceutical (vaccination) and non-pharmaceutical (such as facemask wearing, social distancing, and quarantine) measures. In this way, cross-sectional research was conducted in Algeria from 23 December 2021 to 12 March 2022 to investigate the effectiveness of preventative interventions in lowering COVID-19 infection and severity. More specifically, we investigated the link between mask-wearing and infection on one side, and the relationship between vaccination and the risk of hospitalization on the other. For this purpose, we used binary logistic regression modeling that allows learning the role of mask-wearing and vaccination in a heterogeneous society with respect to compliance with barrier measures. This study determined that wearing a mask is equally important for people of all ages. Further, findings revealed that the risk of infection was 0.79 times lower among those who were using masks (odds ratio (OR) = 0.79; confidence interval (CI) 95% = 0.668-0.936; p-value = 0.006). At the same time, vaccination is a necessary preventive measure as the risk of hospitalization increases with age. Compared with those who did not get vaccinated, those who got vaccinated were 0.429 times less likely to end up in the hospital (OR = 0.429; CI95% = 0.273-0.676; p < 0.0001). The model performance demonstrates significant relationships between the dependent and independent variables, with the absence of over-dispersion in both studied models, such as the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) scores. These findings emphasize the significance of preventative measures and immunization in the battle against the COVID-19 pandemic.

Predicting Depression in Older Adults after the COVID-19 Pandemic Using ICF Model.

This study aimed to test a predictive model for depression in older adults in the community after the COVID-19 pandemic and identify influencing factors using the International Classification of Functioning, Disability, and Health (ICF). The subjects of this study were 9920 older adults in South Korean local communities. The analysis results of path analysis and bootstrapping analysis revealed that subjective health status, instrumental activities of daily living (IADL), number of chronic diseases, social support satisfaction, household economic level, informal support, and participation in social groups were factors directly influencing depression, while formal support, age, gender, education level, employment status, and participation in social groups were factors indirectly affecting it. It will be needed to prepare measures to prevent depression in older adults during an infectious disease pandemic, such as the COVID-19 pandemic, based on the results of this study.

Explainable Deep-Learning-Based Depression Modeling of Elderly Community after COVID-19 Pandemic

The impact of the COVID-19 epidemic on the mental health of elderly individuals is causing considerable worry. We examined a deep neural network (DNN) model to predict the depression of the elderly population during the pandemic period based on social factors related to stress, health status, daily changes, and physical distancing. This study used vast data from the 2020 Community Health Survey of the Republic of Korea, which included 97,230 people over the age of 60. After cleansing the data, the DNN model was trained using 36,258 participants' data and 22 variables. We also integrated the DNN model with a LIME-based explainable model to achieve model prediction explainability. According to the research, the model could reach a prediction accuracy of 89.92%. Furthermore, the F1-score (0.92), precision (93.55%), and recall (97.32%) findings showed the effectiveness of the proposed approach. The COVID-19 pandemic considerably impacts the likelihood of depression in later life in the elderly community. This explainable DNN model can help identify patients to start treatment on them early.

Predicting the sentiment of South Korean Twitter users toward vaccination after the emergence of COVID-19 Omicron variant using deep learning-based natural language processing

Although the full vaccination rate of South Korea compared to other countries, concerns about the effectiveness of the vaccine are growing as new COVID variants such as Alpha, Beta, Gamma, Delta, and Omicron appear over time. In this study, we collected Twitter data in South Korea that contained keywords like vaccines after the outbreak of the Omicron variant from 27 November 2021 to 14 February 2022. First, we analyzed the relationship between potential keywords associated with vaccination after the appearance of the Omicron variant in Twitter using network analysis. Second, we developed an efficient model for predicting the emotion of speech regarding vaccination after the COVID-19 Omicron variant pandemic by using deep learning algorithms. We constructed sentiment analysis models regarding vaccination after the COVID-19 Omicron pandemic by using five algorithms [i.e., support vector machine (SVM), recurrent neural networks (RNNs), long short-term memory models (LSTMs), bidirectional encoder representations from transformers (BERT), and Korean BERT (KoBERT)]. The results confirmed that KoBERT showed the best performance (71%) in all predictive performance indicators (accuracy, precision, and F1 score). It is necessary to prepare measures to alleviate the negative factorss of the public about vaccination in the long-term pandemic situation and help the public recognize the efficacy and safety of vaccination by using big data based on the results of this study.

Predicting South Korean adolescents vulnerable to obesity after the COVID-19 pandemic using categorical boosting and shapley additive explanation values: A population-based cross-sectional survey

Objective This study identified factors related to adolescent obesity during the COVID-19 pandemic by using machine learning techniques and developed a model for predicting high-risk obesity groups among South Korean adolescents based on the result. Materials and methods This study analyzed 50,858 subjects (male: 26,535 subjects, and female: 24,323 subjects) between 12 and 18 years old. Outcome variables were classified into two classes (normal or obesity) based on body mass index (BMI). The explanatory variables included demographic factors, mental health factors, life habit factors, exercise factors, and academic factors. This study developed a model for predicting adolescent obesity by using multiple logistic regressions that corrected all confounding factors to understand the relationship between predictors for South Korean adolescent obesity by inputting the seven variables with the highest Shapley values found in categorical boosting (CatBoost). Results In this study, the top seven variables with a high impact on model output (based on SHAP values in CatBoost) were gender, mean sitting hours per day, the number of days of conducting strength training in the past seven days, academic performance, the number of days of drinking soda in the past seven days, the number of days of conducting the moderate-intensity physical activity for 60 min or more per day in the past seven days, and subjective stress perception level. Conclusion To prevent obesity in adolescents, it is required to detect adolescents vulnerable to obesity early and conduct monitoring continuously to manage their physical health.

Prediction of adolescent suicidal ideation after the COVID-19 pandemic: A nationwide survey of a representative sample of Korea.

Objective: This study developed a model to predict groups vulnerable to suicidal ideation after the declaration of the COVID-19 pandemic based on nomogram techniques targeting 54,948 adolescents who participated in a national survey in South Korea. Methods: This study developed a model to predict suicidal ideation by using logistic regression analysis. The model aimed to understand the relationship between predictors associated with the suicidal ideation of South Korean adolescents by using the top seven variables with the highest feature importance confirmed in XGBoost (extreme gradient boosting). The regression model was developed using a nomogram so that medical workers could easily interpret the probability of suicidal ideation and identify groups vulnerable to suicidal ideation. Results: This epidemiological study predicted that eighth graders who experienced depression in the past 12 months, had a lot of subjective stress, frequently felt lonely in the last 12 months, experienced much-worsened household economic status during the COVID-19 pandemic, and had poor academic performance were vulnerable to suicidal ideation. The results of 10-fold cross-validation revealed that the area under the curve (AUC) of the adolescent suicidal ideation prediction nomogram was 0.86, general accuracy was 0.89, precision was 0.87, recall was 0.89, and the F1-score was 0.88. Conclusion: It is required to recognize the seriousness of adolescent suicide and mental health after the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic and prepare a customized support system that considers the characteristics of persons at risk of suicide at the school or community level.

Factors Influencing the Utilization of Diabetes Complication Tests Under the COVID-19 Pandemic: Machine Learning Approach.

Objective: There are still not enough studies on the prediction of non-utilization of a complication test or a glycated hemoglobin test for preventing diabetes complications by using large-scale community-based big data. This study identified the ratio of not taking a diabetes complication test (fundus examination and microprotein urination test) among adult diabetic patients over 19 years using a national survey conducted in South Korea and developed a model for predicting the probability of not taking a diabetes complication test based on it. Methods: This study analyzed 25,811 subjects who responded that they had been diagnosed with diabetes by a doctor in the 2020 Community Health Survey. Outcome variables were defined as the utilization of the microprotein urination test and the fundus examination during the past year. This study developed a model for predicting the utilization of a diabetes complication test using logistic regression analysis and nomogram to understand the relationship of predictive factors on the utilization of a diabetes complication test. Results: The results of this study confirmed that age, education level, the recognition of own blood glucose level, current diabetes treatment, diabetes management education, not conducting the glycated hemoglobin test in the past year, smoking, single-person household, subjectively good health, and living in the rural area were independently related to the non-utilization of diabetes complication test after the COVID-19 pandemic. Conclusion: Additional longitudinal studies are required to confirm the causality of the non-utilization of diabetes complication screening tests.

Development of Keyword Trend Prediction Models for Obesity Before and After the COVID-19 Pandemic Using RNN and LSTM: Analyzing the News Big Data of South Korea.

The Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (2020) reported that the prevalence of obesity (≥19 years old) was 31.4% in 2011, but it increased to 33.8% in 2019 and 38.3% in 2020, which confirmed that it increased rapidly after the outbreak of COVID-19. Obesity increases not only the risk of infection with COVID-19 but also severity and fatality rate after being infected with COVID-19 compared to people with normal weight or underweight. Therefore, identifying the difference in potential factors for obesity before and after the pandemic is an important issue in health science. This study identified the keywords and topics that were formed before and after the COVID-19 pandemic in the South Korean society and how they had been changing by conducting a web crawling of South Korea's news big data using "obesity" as a keyword. This study also developed models for predicting timing before and after the COVID-19 pandemic using keywords. Topic modeling results was found that the trend of keywords was different between before the COVID-19 pandemic and after the COVID-19 pandemic: topics such as "degenerative arthritis", "diet," and "side effects of diet treatment" were derived before the COVID-19 pandemic, while topics such as "COVID blues" and "relationship between dietary behavior and disease" were confirmed after the COVID-19 pandemic. This study also showed that both RNN and LSTM had high accuracy (over 97%), but the accuracy of the RNN model (98.22%) had higher than that of the LSTM model (97.12%) by 0.24%. Based on the results of this study, it will be necessary to continuously pay attention to the newly added obesity-related factors after the COVID-19 pandemic and to prepare countermeasures at the social level based on the results of this study.

Influence of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the Subjective Life Satisfaction of South Korean Adults: Bayesian Nomogram Approach.

To understand the changes in the lives of adults living in local communities due to the COVID-19 pandemic, it is necessary to identify subjective life satisfaction and to understand key factors affecting life satisfaction. This study identified the effect on life satisfaction of COVID-19 using epidemiological data representing adults in South Korean communities and developed a model for predicting the factors adversely affecting life satisfaction by applying a Bayesian nomogram. The subjects of this study were 227,808 adults who were 19 years old or older. Life satisfaction was measured in units of 10 points from 0 to 100: a score of 30 or less corresponding to -1 standard deviations was reclassified as dissatisfied, and a score of 40 or more was reclassified as satisfied. The nomogram developed in this study showed that "females who were between 30 and 39 years old, living in urban areas, with fewer meetings and sleeping hours, concerned about infection for themselves and the weak in the family due to the COVID-19 pandemic, concerned about death, with a mean household monthly income of KRW 3-5 million, who were non-smokers, with poor subjective health, and an education level of college graduation or above" would have a 66% chance of life dissatisfaction due to the COVID-19 pandemic. The results of this study suggest that the government needs not only to provide economic support but also to support education on infectious diseases and customized psychological counseling programs for those at high risk of life dissatisfaction after the COVID-19 pandemic.

Predicting High-Risk Groups for COVID-19 Anxiety Using AdaBoost and Nomogram: Findings from Nationwide Survey in South Korea

People living in local communities have become more worried about infection due to the extended pandemic situation and the global resurgence of COVID-19. In this study, the author (1) selected features to be included in the nomogram using AdaBoost, which had an advantage in increasing the classification accuracy of single learners and (2) developed a nomogram for predicting high-risk groups of coronavirus anxiety while considering both prediction performance and interpretability based on this. Among 210,606 adults (95,287 males and 115,319 females) in South Korea, 39,768 people (18.9%) experienced anxiety due to COVID-19. The AdaBoost model confirmed that education level, awareness of neighbors/colleagues’ COVID-19 response, age, gender, and subjective stress were five key variables with high weight in predicting anxiety induced by COVID-19 for adults living in South Korean communities. The developed logistic regression nomogram predicted that the risk of anxiety due to COVID-19 would be 63% for a female older adult who felt a lot of subjective stress, did not attend a middle school, was 70.6 years old, and thought that neighbors and colleagues responded to COVID-19 appropriately (classification accuracy = 0.812, precision = 0.761, recall = 0.812, AUC = 0.688, and F-1 score = 0.740). Prospective or retrospective cohort studies are required to causally identify the characteristics of anxiety disorders targeting high-risk COVID-19 anxiety groups identified in this study.